

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
| 8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Forest Green Rovers | 46 | 31 | 84 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 46 | 24 | 84 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 38.74% | 25.61% | 35.65% |
| Both teams to score 55.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% | 48.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% | 70.63% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% | 24.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.85% | 59.14% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% | 26.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.51% | 61.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
| 9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
| 11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
| 18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
| 20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
| 21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
| 23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
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