Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 33.34% ( | 28.64% ( | 38.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.29% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.22% ( | 80.77% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( | 33.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.45% ( | 70.55% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( | 30.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.87% ( | 67.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 12.29% ( 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 1-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 57 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Salford City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 39 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 14 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 37 |
| 15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 31 |
| 18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 25 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 22 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 21 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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