

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 32.17% ( | 25.71% ( | 42.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( | 49.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( | 71.68% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( | 29.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.03% ( | 64.97% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( | 23.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.59% ( | 57.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 68 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts County | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | Port Vale | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 55 |
| 8 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 49 |
| 11 | Salford City | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 49 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 48 |
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 42 |
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 |
| 18 | MK Dons | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 37 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 30 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 35 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 29 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 27 |
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