Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.47%) and 1-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.