Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 10-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.