Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
