Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
