MX23RW : Wednesday, May 11 17:29:11| >> :600:463679:463679:
[monks data]
May 7, 2022 at 8.30pm UK at Estadio Municipal
Portimonense
2 - 3
Sporting Lisbon
Carlinhos (25'), Junior (30')
Moufi (38'), Da Costa (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tabata (12'), Sarabia (71', 76')
Esgaio (67'), Coates (90+3')

Preview: Portimonense vs. Sporting Lisbon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to pick up three three home wins on the trot for the first time since January 2019, Portimonense take on Sporting Lisbon at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao on Saturday.

The Leoes, meanwhile, head into the game unbeaten in each of their last eight games against the hosts and will be backing themselves to come away with the desired results once again.


Match preview

Sporting Lisbon's Pablo Sarabia celebrates scoring their first goal with Marcus Edwards and Luis Neto on May 1, 2022© Reuters

Portimonense failed to move into the top half of the Primeira Liga table last Saturday when they fell to a disappointing 1-0 defeat at the hands of 15th-placed Arouca.

In a cagey affair at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca, 31-year-old midfielder David Simao came up trumps for the Arouquenses as he scored the only goal of the game on the 50th-minute mark.

Paulo Sergio's men have now lost nine of their last 16 league outings since the turn of the year, while picking up 12 points from a possible 54 since a 1-0 win at Moreirense on December 12.

This poor run has been owing to their lack of sting at the attacking end of the pitch, where they currently hold the division's second-poorest record with just 28 goals scored so far — with only last-placed Belenenses scoring fewer.

With 35 points from 32 games, Portimonense currently occupy 12th place in the league standings, but could rise as high as eighth with all three points on Saturday.

However, standing in their way is an opposing side who they have failed to defeat in each of their last eight attempts, losing seven and holding out for one draw since a 4-2 victory back in October 2018.

Sporting Lisbon's Paulinho celebrates scoring their first goal with Pablo Sarabia on February 2, 2022© Reuters

Elsewhere, Sporting Lisbon made it two wins from two as they comfortably saw off Gil Vicente 4-1 when the sides squared off at the Estadio Jose Alvalade last weekend.

After falling two goals behind courtesy of Pablo Sarabia and Marcus Edwards, Fran Navarro pulled one back for the Gilistas on the stroke of half time, but a 53rd-minute own goal from Lucas Cunha restored the hosts' two-goal lead before Pedro Goncalves put the icing on the cake from the penalty spot three minutes after the hour mark.

Prior to that, Ruben Amorim's side fell to a 2-0 defeat at the hands of rivals Benfica on April 17 which saw their run of 10 league games without defeat come to an end before claiming a 3-0 victory at Boavista eight days later.

The Leoes have now won 25, drawn four and lost three of their 32 games this season to collect 79 points and sit second in the league standings, six points adrift of first-placed Porto with two games to play.

While Sporting Lisbon could potentially move level on points with the league leaders, their hopes of retaining their crown are effectively over as Sergio Conceicao's men boast a goal difference of +16 at the top of the pile.

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Sporting Lisbon Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W


Team News

Sporting Lisbon's Islam Slimani celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 5, 2022© Reuters

Portimonense will take to the pitch without Adewale Sapara after the Nigerian midfielder sustained an injury in March's game against Benfica.

Other than that, the Portimao-based outfit boast a clean bill of health and no suspension concerns, giving Sergio the luxury of a full-strength squad at his disposal.

Meanwhile, Uruguayan defender Sebastian Coates is out of contention for the visitors after the 31-year-old picked up a knee injury in the game against Boavista on April 25.

On the back of his side's dominant display against the Gilistas, Amorim could name a similar side on Saturday, meaning we could see an attacking trio of Goncalves, Edwards and Sarabia once again.

Pedro Porro, Joao Palhinha, Matheus Nunes and Nuno Santos should all start at the centre of the park, while we should see a back three of Luis Neto, Goncalo Inacio and Matheus Reis.

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Niazmand; Moufi, Rocha, Pedrao, Relvas; Ewerton, Luquinha, Carlinhos; Nakajima, Angulo, Junior

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Neto, Inacio, Reis; Porro, Palhinha, Nunes, Santos; Goncalves, Edwards, Sarabia


SM words green background

We say: Portimonense 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

Looking at past results between the sides, Sporting Lisbon head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with all three points. Portimonense are winless in each of their last eight games against the visitors and we predict this trend will continue with Amorim's side claiming all three points once again.




Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense has a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 11.09% and the second most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-2 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 10.9%.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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How you voted: Portimonense vs Sporting Lisbon

Portimonense
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Sporting Lisbon
81.8%
22
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Sporting Lisbon's Joao Palhinha in action in February 2021
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Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPorto33284184226288
2Sporting Lisbon33264369234682
3Benfica33225676304671
4Braga33198650282265
5Gil Vicente331312847371051
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33129124541445
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara33913113850-1240
8Estoril PraiaEstoril33912123641-539
9Maritimo33911133943-438
10Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira33911132942-1338
11BoavistaBoavista33716103750-1337
12FamalicaoFamalicao33812134249-736
13PortimonensePortimonense3398163045-1535
14Vizela33712143654-1833
15AroucaArouca3379173054-2430
16TondelaTondela3376203965-2627
17MoreirenseMoreirense3368192950-2126
18BelenensesBelenenses33510182355-3225

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