Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.