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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
45.59% | 27.29% | 27.11% |
Both teams to score 46.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.02% | 57.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.32% | 78.67% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% | 25.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.81% | 60.18% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.85% | 37.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% | 73.93% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 |
3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
12 | Heracles | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 35 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 25 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 |
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