

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga | 
| 18.19% (  -0.17) | 20.7% (  -0.05) | 61.1% (  0.22) | 
| Both teams to score 56.15% (  -0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.72% (  -0.04) | 40.28% (  0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.34% (  -0.04) | 62.66% (  0.05) | 
| Estoril Praia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.35% (  -0.21) | 35.65% (  0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.58% (  -0.22) | 72.42% (  0.22) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.27% (  0.05) | 12.73% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.02% (  0.1) | 38.97% (  -0.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga | 
| 2-1 @ 4.98% (  -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.68% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.41% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.71% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.19% | 1-1 @ 9.65% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.94% (  0) 0-2 @ 9.64% (  0.06) 0-1 @ 9.36% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 6.83% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 6.62% (  0.05) 2-3 @ 3.52% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.52% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 3.41% (  0.03) 2-4 @ 1.82% (  -0) 1-5 @ 1.45% (  0.01) 0-5 @ 1.41% (  0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.1% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 | 
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 | 
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
