

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Portimonense | 4 | 4 | 9 | 
| 5 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 4 | 7 | 
| 6 | Chaves | 4 | 2 | 7 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 0 | 5 | 
| 13 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | -2 | 4 | 
| 14 | Rio Ave | 4 | -2 | 4 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon | 
| 16.21% (  -0.36) | 20.92% (  -0) | 62.87% (  0.37) | 
| Both teams to score 51.23% (  -0.77) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.24% (  -0.63) | 44.76% (  0.63) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.88% (  -0.61) | 67.12% (  0.61) | 
| Estoril Praia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.31% (  -0.83) | 40.69% (  0.83) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.72% (  -0.76) | 77.28% (  0.76) | 
| Sporting Lisbon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.38% (  -0.09) | 13.62% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.23% (  -0.18) | 40.77% (  0.18) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon | 
| 1-0 @ 4.98% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 4.47% (  -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.24% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.34% (  -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.34% (  -0.07) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 9.93% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 4.45% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.92% | 0-1 @ 11.04% (  0.26) 0-2 @ 11.01% (  0.23) 1-2 @ 9.9% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.32% (  0.13) 1-3 @ 6.58% (  -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.65% (  0.05) 1-4 @ 3.28% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.96% (  -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.48% (  -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.46% (  0.02) 1-5 @ 1.31% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 62.86% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 64 | 21 | 43 | 56 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 | 
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 | 
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 | 
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 | 
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 | 
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 | 
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