Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
0 - 2
Inter Milan

Bellanova (39'), Ederson (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Augusto (54'), Martinez (87')
Bastoni (79'), Pavard (86')
Bastoni (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-4 Atalanta
Sunday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Feyenoord
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
38.1% ( -0.16)	25.63% ( -0.05)	36.27% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.46% (

0.21)

48.54% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

0.2)

70.66% (

-0.19)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

0.01)

24.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

0.02)

59.63% (

-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

0.22)

26.01% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

0.3)

61.03% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 38.1%

Inter Milan 36.27%

Draw 25.62%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.1%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 36.27%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta BC

26.0%

Draw

17.3%

Inter Milan

56.7%

Head to Head

Jan 2, 2025 7pm

Semi-Finals

Inter Milan

2-0

Atalanta

Dumfries (49', 61')
Augusto (88')

Scalvini (28')

> Preview

Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 3

Inter Milan

4-0

Atalanta

Djimsiti (4' og.), Barella (10'), Thuram (47', 56')

de Roon (45+1'), Retegui (53')

> Preview

Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 21

Inter Milan

4-0

Atalanta

Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')

Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')

> Preview

Nov 4, 2023 5pm

Gameweek 11

Atalanta

1-2

Inter Milan

Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')

Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')

> Preview

May 27, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 37

Inter Milan

3-2

Atalanta

Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')

Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')

> Preview

Form Guide

Juventus 0-4 Atalanta

Atalanta 0-0 Venezia

Empoli 0-5 Atalanta

Atalanta 1-3 Brugge

Atalanta 0-0 Cagliari

Brugge 2-1 Atalanta

Inter Milan 2-1 Feyenoord

Inter Milan 3-2 Monza

Feyenoord 0-2 Inter Milan

Napoli 1-1 Inter Milan

Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio

Inter Milan 1-0 Genoa

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table