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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Inter logo
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Monza

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Monza

Martinez (24'), Arnautovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (64'), Kiriakopoulos (77' og.)
FT(HT: 2-2)
Birindelli (32'), Balde (44')
Izzo (38'), (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, March 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Monza

All competitions
Last Game: Monza 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 4.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.35%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawMonza
85.22% (0.782 0.78)10.56% (-0.502 -0.5)4.22% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 37.95% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.78% (1.063 1.06)34.22% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88% (1.19 1.19)56.11% (-1.192 -1.19)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.34% (0.354 0.35)5.66% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.1% (1.005 1.01)21.9% (-1.008 -1.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.23% (-0.392 -0.39)59.77% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.47% (-0.204 -0.2)90.53% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 85.21%
    Monza 4.22%
    Draw 10.56%
Inter MilanDrawMonza
2-0 @ 13.94% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 13.35% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-0 @ 9.59% (0.296 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 5.51% (0.283 0.28)
4-1 @ 4.94% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.84% (0.112 0.11)
6-0 @ 2.64% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.36% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.08% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 85.21%
1-1 @ 5% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 1.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 10.56%
0-1 @ 1.74% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-2 @ 1.29% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 4.22%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Monza

Inter Milan
87.2%
Draw
10.6%
Monza
2.1%
47
Head to Head
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1-1
Inter Milan
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Dumfries (88')
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> Preview
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Monza
1-5
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Pessina (69' pen.)
Colpani (5'), Birindelli (70')
Palladino (6')
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> Preview
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Monza
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Inter Milan
0-1
Monza
Caldirola (78')
> Preview
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Monza
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Inter Milan
Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)
Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
> Preview