Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Torino |
| 37.17% ( | 28.46% ( | 34.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.01% ( | 59.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.77% ( | 80.23% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( | 31.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( | 69.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.36% |