

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Boavista |
| 52.84% ( | 23.98% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( | 48.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( | 70.3% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( | 18.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.84% ( | 49.16% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( | 35.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.07% ( | 71.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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