Hearts 1-4 Celtic - Scottish Premiership - October 22, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

1 - 4

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Shankland (64')
Vargas (58'), Sibbick (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

O'Riley (4'), Maeda (23'), Furuhashi (51'), Iwata (81')
Iwata (90+2')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts have been resilient defensively so far this term, but they are far from their best going forward, while the league leaders should have enough to break them down at Tynecastle Park. Celtic have won each of the last seven Premiership meetings between these two sides, and we can only envisage another triumph for the Glasgow outfit on Sunday given the trajectory of their campaign thus far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Celtic
22.93% ( -0.34)	22.06% ( -0.03)	55.01% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 59.16% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.11% (

-0.27)

39.89% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.75% (

-0.28)

62.25% (

0.28)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.44)

30.84% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.52)

67.11% (

0.52)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

0.02)

14.45% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.59% (

0.05)

42.41% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Hearts 22.93%

Celtic 55.01%

Draw 22.05%

Hearts	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 22.93%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.01%

How you voted: Hearts vs Celtic

Hearts

12.8%

Draw

2.6%

Celtic

84.6%

Head to Head

May 7, 2023 2.15pm

Gameweek 34

0-2

Furuhashi (67'), Oh (80')

> Match Report

Mar 11, 2023 12.15pm

Quarter-Finals

0-3

Mooy (2'), Furuhashi (45'), Carter-Vickers (80')

Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 27

3-1

Maeda (25'), Furuhashi (60'), Haksabanovic (84')

Ginnelly (6')

Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm

Gameweek 12

3-4

Shankland (45+3' pen., 47', 65' pen.)

Forrest (14'), Giakoumakis (55'), Maeda (59'), Taylor (76')

Aug 21, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 4

2-0

Furuhashi (13'), Giakoumakis (90+4')

Boyce (25'), Mackay-Steven (43'), Sibbick (55'), Cochrane (62'), Shankland (83')
Cochrane (89'), Sibbick (90+1')