Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.