MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 23:39:39| >> :600:108775:108775:
Brighton logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Roma logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Roma

Welbeck (37')
Lamptey (31'), Estupinan (40'), De Zerbi (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancini (12'), De Rossi (24'), N'Dicka (35'), Pellegrini (40'), Svilar (45+1'), Celik (86')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion are knocked out of the Europa League after losing 4-1 on aggregate to Roma, despite beating the Italian side 1-0 in the second leg of their last-16 tie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
51.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.02% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.012 -0.01)69.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.34% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.66%
    Roma 24.31%
    Draw 24.02%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.7%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.31%

How you voted: Brighton vs Roma

Brighton & Hove Albion
51.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
38.3%
196
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Roma
4-0
Brighton
Dybala (13'), Lukaku (43'), Mancini (64'), Cristante (68')
Spinazzola (61')

Paul van Hecke (38'), Lamptey (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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