Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Onuachu (20')
Downes (64'), Bednarek (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Franca (90+2')
Wharton (15')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 0-3 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 29 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
14.76% ( -0.05)	19.65% ( -0.08)	65.58% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.04% (

0.22)

41.96% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

0.22)

64.36% (

-0.22)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.11% (

0.05)

40.89% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.54% (

0.05)

77.45% (

-0.05)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.02% (

0.1)

11.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.59% (

0.21)

37.4% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Southampton 14.76%

Crystal Palace 65.57%

Draw 19.65%

Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.76%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.65%	0-2 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 65.57%