Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 83.73%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 5.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 4-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-2 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.