Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
