DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Elversberg
2 - 2
Mainz 05
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Mainz win 8-7 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Elversberg and Mainz 05.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%).
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 32.68% | 23.27% | 44.06% |
| Both teams to score 63.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
