Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 05
1 - 3
Dortmund
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 21.92% | 22.58% | 55.49% |
| Both teams to score 55.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
