Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mainz 05 in this match.
