

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 38.15% (  -1.69) | 23.95% (  0.14) | 37.9% (  1.55) | 
| Both teams to score 61.66% (  -0.42) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.38% (  -0.59) | 40.62% (  0.59) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37% (  -0.61) | 63% (  0.61) | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.59% (  -1.07) | 21.41% (  1.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.59% (  -1.67) | 54.41% (  1.67) | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.46% (  0.52) | 21.53% (  -0.52) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.4% (  0.8) | 54.6% (  -0.79) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 2-1 @ 8.41% (  -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.11% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.48% (  -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.32% (  -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.32% (  -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.81% (  -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.67% (  -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.28% (  -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.08% (  -0.12) Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 10.91% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 6.46% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.61% (  0.12) 3-3 @ 1.7% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.38% (  0.22) 0-1 @ 7.08% (  0.3) 0-2 @ 5.44% (  0.31) 1-3 @ 4.29% (  0.18) 2-3 @ 3.31% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 2.78% (  0.2) 1-4 @ 1.65% (  0.09) 2-4 @ 1.27% (  0.03) 0-4 @ 1.07% (  0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.9% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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