

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Le Havre |
| 72.92% ( | 16.18% ( | 10.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.86% ( | 35.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.86% ( | 57.15% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.66% ( | 8.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.93% ( | 29.07% ( |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( | 42.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.18% ( | 78.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Le Havre |
| 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 3-0 @ 9.04% ( 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 3-1 @ 7.75% ( 4-0 @ 5.62% ( 4-1 @ 4.81% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 5-1 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 6-0 @ 1.15% ( 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 6-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 72.92% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.18% | 1-2 @ 3.23% ( 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 1-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 82 | 27 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
| 7 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 8 | Brest | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 |
| 9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 30 |
| 14 | Angers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 64 | -31 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 24 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
