Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
3 - 1
Le Havre

Teze (9'), Ben Seghir (66'), Balogun (70')
Magassa (21')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kuzyaev (30')
Toure (20'), Salmier (44'), Kuzyaev (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Le Havre
58.07% ( 0.21)	22.2% ( -0.07)	19.73% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 53.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.34% (

0.11)

44.66% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

0.11)

67.02% (

-0.11)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.91% (

0.11)

15.09% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.38% (

0.21)

43.62% (

-0.21)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.43% (

-0.08)

36.57% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.64% (

-0.08)

73.36% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Monaco 58.07%

Le Havre 19.73%

Draw 22.19%

Monaco	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.07%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.73%