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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lille
Montpellier
1 - 3
Lille
Wahi (20')
Germain (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
David (41', 90+4'), Gomes (57')
Djalo (16'), Ounas (80'), Gomes (86'), David (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Lille

Last Six:
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Nice
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lille

 Lille have performed better on the road so far this season, and we can envisage that continuing on Sunday. Montpellier have had a kind fixture list in recent weeks, with the visitors clearly possessing greater quality on paper as well as far fewer injury and suspension concerns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
32.67% (-0.312 -0.31) 26.49% (-0.218 -0.22) 40.84% (0.53 0.53)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.808 0.81)52.77% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.688 0.69)74.4% (-0.688 -0.69)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.19799999999999 0.2)30.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.23699999999999 0.24)66.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.652 0.65)25.45% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.884 0.88)60.28% (-0.885 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 32.67%
    Lille 40.83%
    Draw 26.48%
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.83%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lille

Montpellier HSC
32.9%
Draw
16.4%
Lille
50.7%
73
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 4pm
Montpellier
0-1
Lille

Ferri (46'), Savanier (83'), Germain (87')
Xeka (77')
Andre (18'), Gomes (22'), Celik (45'), Xeka (64')
Aug 29, 2021 4pm
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Yazici (45+1'), David (57')
Fonte (25'), Andre (33'), Xeka (43')
Laborde (45+3')
Sambia (24'), Ferri (25'), Laborde (34'), Savanier (56'), Chotard (59'), Mollet (70')
Sambia (73')
Apr 16, 2021 8pm
Lille
1-1
Montpellier
Araujo (85')
Andre (30'), Celik (43'), Mandava (81')
Delort (21')
Mollet (14')
Dec 23, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
2-3
Lille
Laborde (57'), Delort (70')
Der Zakarian (21'), Sambia (50'), Ristic (66'), Ferri (87')
Der Zakarian (90')
Weah (23'), Ikone (68' pen.), Yilmaz (86')
Andre (17'), Xeka (77')
Apr 4, 2020 4.30pm
Montpellier
P-P
Lille
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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