Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
