Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
