Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
