Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.