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Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 at 10pm UK at Yankee Stadium
NY City
2 - 2
Atlanta
Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United

 As hard as Atlanta have fought to stay competitive, it seems as though the amount of injuries have taken a toll on them, and their body language shows a team that look demoralised, which rarely equates to positive results. When the defending champions are given even a slight opening, they will make you pay, and the Pigeons should be able to find a breakthrough eventually this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
62.62% (0.288 0.29) 20.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 17.25% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.27% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.363 -0.36)39.22% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.38 -0.38)61.55% (0.381 0.38)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)11.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.59% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)37.4% (0.067 0.07)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.517 -0.52)36.07% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.532 -0.53)72.85% (0.53200000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 62.62%
    Atlanta United 17.25%
    Draw 20.12%
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.141 0.14)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 62.62%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 17.25%

How you voted: NY City vs Atlanta

New York City FC
86.1%
Draw
8.3%
Atlanta United
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
NY City
2-0
Atlanta
Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Atlanta
1-1
NY City
Moreno (17')
Franco (60'), Robinson (85')
Thorarinsson (90')
Moralez (24'), Sands (90+4')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Atlanta
Tajouri (69')

Sosa (12'), Barco (45'), Lopez (55')
Aug 1, 2020 8pm
Atlanta
P-P
NY City
Jun 18, 2020 12am
NY City
P-P
Atlanta
rhs 2.0
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