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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 43.37% ( | 25.27% ( | 31.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( | 48.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( | 70.21% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( | 22.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.51% ( | 55.49% ( |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( | 28.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.37% ( | 64.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | DC United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Toronto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
