Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.