Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.