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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
54.03% (![]() | 25.39% | 20.58% |
Both teams to score 45.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.73% | 56.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.69% | 77.31% (![]() |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% (![]() | 20.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% (![]() | 53.55% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.65% | 42.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.26% | 78.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 13.84% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 4.87% 4-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.25% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.15% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.08% Total : 20.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 44 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 34 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
8 | DC United | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 26 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Toronto | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 30 |
5 | Dallas | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 25 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 24 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 16 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 14 |