MX23RW : Wednesday, June 4 22:52:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
Charlotte FC

Nashville
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Williams (49'), Shaffelburg (54')
Palacios (23'), Lovitz (44'), Yazbek (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abada (48')
Gurno (72'), Westwood (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Nashville SC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Nashville
Saturday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Charlotte FC

Nashville seem to have found their rhythm after a troubling spell, now unbeaten in three games, and up against a Charlotte side struggling away from home, we can only back the home team to claim a 2-1 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
58.86% (0.901 0.9) 21.34% (-0.337 -0.34) 19.8% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.3% (0.73699999999999 0.74)40.7% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (0.75 0.75)63.08% (-0.746 -0.75)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.521 0.52)13.52% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (1.026 1.03)40.58% (-1.02 -1.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)34.21% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (-0.145 -0.15)70.9% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 58.86%
    Charlotte FC 19.8%
    Draw 21.34%
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.074 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 58.86%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.34%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.8%

How you voted: Nashville vs Charlotte FC

Nashville SC
Draw
Charlotte FC
Nashville SC
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Charlotte FC
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2025 7.30pm
Charlotte FC
2-1
Nashville
Zaha (85' pen.), Gurno (90')
Westwood (52'), Vargas (72'), Byrne (90+11')
Williams (32')
Najar (13'), Tagseth (68')
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-0
Nashville
Agyemang (52')
Vargas (76'), Smalls (90+6')

Boyd (22'), Lovitz (56'), Davis (88')
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Nashville
2-1
Charlotte FC
Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!