Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.