

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica | 
| 24.01% (  -0.28) | 22.72% (  -0.03) | 53.27% (  0.31) | 
| Both teams to score 58.19% (  -0.25) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.21% (  -0.18) | 41.79% (  0.18) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.81% (  -0.18) | 64.19% (  0.18) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.02% (  -0.33) | 30.97% (  0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.72% (  -0.39) | 67.28% (  0.39) | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.3% (  0.04) | 15.7% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.24% (  0.08) | 44.76% (  -0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica | 
| 2-1 @ 6.18% (  -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.7% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.34% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.42% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.31% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.01% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.86% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 9.77% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 9% (  0.09) 0-2 @ 8.34% (  0.09) 1-3 @ 6.03% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 5.15% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 3.53% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.79% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 2.38% (  0.03) 2-4 @ 1.64% (  -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% (  0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.27% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 | 
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 | 
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 | 
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 | 
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 | 
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 | 
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 | 
| 14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 | 
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 | 
| R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 | 
| R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 | 
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