

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 43.72% (  0.81) | 24.49% (  0.1) | 31.78% (  -0.91) | 
| Both teams to score 58.3% (  -0.74) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.58% (  -0.8) | 44.42% (  0.81) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.21% (  -0.78) | 66.79% (  0.79) | 
| FC Koln Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.57% (  0.03) | 20.43% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.12% (  0.04) | 52.88% (  -0.04) | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.27% (  -0.95) | 26.73% (  0.95) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.01% (  -1.27) | 61.99% (  1.28) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 2-1 @ 9.09% (  0.09) 1-0 @ 8.67% (  0.31) 2-0 @ 6.89% (  0.25) 3-1 @ 4.81% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 3.65% (  0.13) 3-2 @ 3.17% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% (  0.05) 4-2 @ 1.26% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.44% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 5.99% (  -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.46% (  0.19) 3-3 @ 1.4% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.55% (  -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.21% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 4.75% (  -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.32% (  -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.64% (  -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.09% (  -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.1% (  -0.08) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.78% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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