

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
| 59.95% ( | 21.19% ( | 18.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( | 41.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( | 63.81% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( | 13.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.61% ( | 40.39% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( | 35.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.64% ( | 72.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 4-0 @ 3.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 69 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
| 5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 45 |
| 7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 40 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 38 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 18 |
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