

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 59.95% (  3.46) | 21.19% (  -0.46) | 18.86% (  -3) | 
| Both teams to score 55.76% (  -3.34) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.59% (  -2.11) | 41.41% (  2.11) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.19% (  -2.18) | 63.81% (  2.17) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.57% (  0.36) | 13.43% (  -0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.61% (  0.72) | 40.39% (  -0.72) | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.41% (  -4.15) | 35.59% (  4.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.64% (  -4.53) | 72.35% (  4.53) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 2-1 @ 9.95% (  0.11) 2-0 @ 9.63% (  1.12) 1-0 @ 9.6% (  1) 3-1 @ 6.66% (  0.16) 3-0 @ 6.45% (  0.83) 3-2 @ 3.44% (  -0.32) 4-1 @ 3.34% (  0.12) 4-0 @ 3.24% (  0.45) 4-2 @ 1.73% (  -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.34% (  0.07) 5-0 @ 1.3% (  0.2) Other @ 3.27% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 9.91% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% (  -0.55) 0-0 @ 4.78% (  0.44) 3-3 @ 1.19% (  -0.27) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.12% (  -0.63) 0-1 @ 4.94% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.55% (  -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.77% (  -0.43) 1-3 @ 1.76% (  -0.45) Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.86% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 69 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 48 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 | 
| 5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 46 | 
| 6 | Freiburg | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 45 | 
| 7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 | 
| 8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 | 
| 9 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 | 
| 10 | Stuttgart | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 40 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 38 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 34 | 
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 | 
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 22 | 
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 20 | 
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 18 | 
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