
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Augsburg | 
| 45.64% (  -0.02) | 25.35% (  -0.04) | 29% (  0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 53.93% (  0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.53% (  0.18) | 49.46% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.5% (  0.16) | 71.5% (  -0.16) | 
| St Pauli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.33% (  0.06) | 21.67% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.19% (  0.1) | 54.8% (  -0.1) | 
| Augsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.85% (  0.14) | 31.14% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.52% (  0.16) | 67.48% (  -0.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| St Pauli | Draw | Augsburg | 
| 1-0 @ 10.32% (  -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.21% (  0) 2-0 @ 7.89% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.69% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.02% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.74% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.05% (  0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.03% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.75% (  -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.37% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% (  0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.87% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 4.59% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.73% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% (  0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 29% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
