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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Augsburg |
45.64% (![]() | 25.35% (![]() | 29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% (![]() | 49.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.5% (![]() | 71.5% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% (![]() | 54.8% (![]() |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% (![]() | 31.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% (![]() | 67.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 10.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.03% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.87% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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