Augsburg logo
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 3
Bayern

Sesko (11'), Klostermann (39'), Poulsen (90+4')
Raum (50'), Kampl (77'), Kampl (78'), Vermeeren (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dier (62'), Olise (63'), Sane (83')
Dier (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.17%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
21.05% (0.077000000000002 0.08)19.51% (-0.104 -0.1)59.44% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.88% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.04% (0.633 0.63)29.96% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.85% (0.761 0.76)51.14% (-0.77 -0.77)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.44 0.44)26.77% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.577 0.58)62.05% (-0.586 -0.59)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (0.191 0.19)10.03% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.91% (0.44800000000001 0.45)33.09% (-0.456 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 21.05%
    Bayern Munich 59.44%
    Draw 19.51%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.54% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 21.05%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.68% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.51%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.73% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 4.12% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.72% (0.063 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.036 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.25% (0.039 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.19% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 59.44%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
19.4%
Draw
26.4%
Bayern Munich
54.2%
72
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bayern
5-1
RB Leipzig
Musiala (1'), Laimer (25'), Kimmich (36'), Sane (75'), Davies (78')
Upamecano (20'), Olise (56'), Kane (60'), Laimer (64'), Kimmich (82')
Sesko (2')
Schlager (26'), Rose (45+1'), Henrichs (59')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
2-1
RB Leipzig
Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!