MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:08:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
vs.
Bayern

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.73%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 20.7% and a draw has a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-3 (7.18%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 2-1 (5.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.27%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
20.7% (-1.057 -1.06) 19.57% (-0.323 -0.32) 59.73% (1.381 1.38)
Both teams to score 65.05% (-0.465 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.22% (0.10199999999999 0.1)30.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.88% (0.123 0.12)52.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.828 -0.83)27.55% (0.828 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (-1.079 -1.08)63.07% (1.08 1.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (0.37899999999999 0.38)10.2% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.51% (0.854 0.85)33.49% (-0.853 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 20.7%
    Bayern Munich 59.73%
    Draw 19.57%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.33% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-0 @ 3.62% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 20.7%
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.57%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.32% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 7.18% (0.134 0.13)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.231 0.23)
2-3 @ 4.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.1% (0.141 0.14)
0-4 @ 3.18% (0.18 0.18)
2-4 @ 2.64% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.87% (0.093 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.45% (0.104 0.1)
2-5 @ 1.21% (0.033 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 59.73%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern?

RB Leipzig
Draw
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bayern Munich
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bayern
5-1
RB Leipzig
Musiala (1'), Laimer (25'), Kimmich (36'), Sane (75'), Davies (78')
Upamecano (20'), Olise (56'), Kane (60'), Laimer (64'), Kimmich (82')
Sesko (2')
Schlager (26'), Rose (45+1'), Henrichs (59')
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
2-1
RB Leipzig
Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!