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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
MK Dons

Tranmere
1 - 1
MK Dons

Norris (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Orsi (32')
Williams (61'), Orsi (64'), Patterson (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-1 MK Dons

Tranmere have been largely inconsistent for most of the season due to the lack of firepower upfront, and leaky defence which has been breached 48 times already this term. The home side have shipped 16 goals in their last seven league fixtures, and given that the visitors averaged a goal per game in their last four outings, we back MK Dons to claim a slender 1-0 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawMK Dons
39.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 34.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)50.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (-0.061 -0.06)72.65% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)25.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.07 -0.07)59.89% (0.067 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)28.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)63.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.63%
    MK Dons 34.28%
    Draw 26.08%
Tranmere RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.63%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.28%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
Tranmere
White (23')
Lemonheigh-Evans (33'), Nemane (59')
Hendry (90+1')
Patrick (68')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Tranmere
1-2
MK Dons
Morris (12')
Apter (45+2')
Gilbey (9'), Harrison (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
MK Dons
1-0
Tranmere
Eisa (7')
Eisa (37'), MacGillivray (77')

Davies (27')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
MK Dons
1-3
Tranmere
Reeves (42')
Walsh (73'), McGrandles (78')
Agard (45')
Hepburn-Murphy (19', 53', 69')
Jennings (45'), Monthe (58'), Mullin (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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