Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.