Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 35.26% ( | 26.59% ( | 38.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( | 52.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( | 74.39% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.58% ( | 64.42% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( | 26.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.75% ( | 62.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
| P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
| 5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
| 7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
| 8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
| 11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
| 13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
| 14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
| 15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
| 16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
| 17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
| 19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
| 20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
| R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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