Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
