Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Both teams have not pulled up trees in non-competitive games in the last 18 to 24 months, but Mexico's superior firepower should see Lozano's El Tri side claim a routine win over this young Bolivia who have typically flourished under Zago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Bolivia
82.35% ( -0.22)	12.31% ( 0.13)	5.34% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 39.3% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.58% (

-0.24)

37.42% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.36% (

-0.26)

59.64% (

0.26)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.14% (

-0.09)

6.86% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.76% (

-0.26)

25.24% (

0.26)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.19% (

0.15)

57.81% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.51% (

0.08)

89.49% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Mexico 82.34%

Bolivia 5.34%

Draw 12.31%

Mexico	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 82.34%	1-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 12.31%	0-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 5.34%